The New England Patriots have moved on from future Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady, but Bill Belichick still has his team in the playoff hunt in the AFC. The Patriots can improve their odds of making the postseason for the 12th consecutive year with a win on Thursday Night Football, but it won’t be an easy task going on the road against the Los Angeles Rams in a Super Bowl LIII rematch.
Can Rams head coach Sean McVay shake off the memories from Super Bowl 53, when his high-powered offense only scored three points against the Patriots? Will Belichick dominate another team on a short week and extend New England’s winning streak to three? Let’s dive into the numbers between this Patriots-Rams matchup and learn how you can claim a $300 risk-free bet when you create an account with the William Hill Sportsbook betting app just in time for tonight’s primetime game on Fox.
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Patriots and Rams ATS Records in 2020
Entering Thursday, the New England Patriots have an overall record of 6-6 during the 2020 season. Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Rams are 8-4. Below you will find each team’s records against the spread so far in 2020.
Patriots
- 4-2 against the spread as an underdog
- 2-2 against the spread as a road underdog
- 2-3 against the spread after a win
- 2-4 against the spread as the road team
Rams
- 5-4 against the spread as a favorite
- 3-2 against the spread as a home favorite
- 3-4 against the spread after a win
- 3-2 against the spread as the home team
Patriots vs. Rams Spread
Rams: -5
The Rams are currently five-point favorites over the Patriots. Los Angeles is coming off a 38-28 win on the road in Arizona during week 13, while the Patriots blew out the Chargers 45-0. Despite the 8-4 overall record, the Rams have kind of gone under the radar in the NFC this year. They’ve won four of their last six games, but for some reason I don’t really picture them as a great team and it again it doesn’t make any sense because they have good units on both sides of the ball. They have a balanced offense, ranking in the top-10 in both passing and rushing yards per game. However, the Rams’ offense is actually ranked in the bottom half of the NFL in scoring, averaging 25.1 points per game, 17th in the league.
For the same reason I took the Patriots last week against the Chargers, I’m taking the Patriots again on Thursday Night Football against the Rams. I simply have to go with Belichick and his coaching advantage on a short week. Plus, check out this stat. The Patriots are 5-1 against the spread in their last six Thursday games.
Pick: Patriots +5
Patriots vs. Rams Point Total
Over/Under: 44.5
The Rams only allow 20.3 points per game this season, fifth best in the NFL. The Patriots only allow 21.3 points per game this season, seventh best in the NFL. So far this season, the over has only hit in 4 of 12 games for both the Patriots and Rams. Gotta go with the trends here.
Pick: Under 44.5
Prop Bet: First player to score a TD
Cam Newton is on pace to have the most rushing attempts of his career in a season this year with the Patriots and through 11 games he has 11 rushing touchdowns. Give me Newton at +550 to reach the end zone first on Thursday.
I’ll also give a Rams pick for first player to score a touchdown and that’s going to be Robert Woods, who has 38 targets over the last three games, hauling in 29 receptions during that period. Solid value with Woods at +850.
First player to score a TD: Newton (+550) Woods (+850)
