Sunday, May 19, 2024

In Colt We Trust – Sunday Night Football Best Bets

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With an exciting NFL Sunday ahead of us, let’s look towards the night-cap game that features two teams that actually have a lot at stake. The Cleveland Browns will be on the prime-time stage for the second straight week, looking to get back on track after their absolutely heartbreaking loss to the Baltimore Ravens that might have been the game of the year so far. That 47-42 loss was crushing to Browns +3 backers, but also all but crushed any hope of their first division crown since 1989 when they were a part of the AFC Central. Luckily for the Browns, a two-game stint in New York will likely clinch them their first playoff berth since 2002, one of the longest playoff droughts in North American pro sports.

On the other side, the Giants are also looking to get back into the playoffs for the first time since their 2016 campaign. Their 26-7 loss to the Arizona Cardinals last week hurt those chances and sees them a game behind a resilient Washington squad in the NFC East. The Giants had next to nothing on offense in the Cardinals game, allowing eight sacks and gaining just 159 total yards. Colt McCoy will once again replace Daniel Jones as the starter in New York, as he’ll look to drastically improve a stagnant offense that will need to be better against Cleveland. The Browns have put up 40+ points in back-to-back games.

DraftKings wants you to take advantage of this great matchup by offering you a great deal this weekend to bet on the game.

Browns – Giants Best Bets

The Lines

Spread: CLE -6.5, NYG +6.5

I think this bet on the side all depends on the number we can get here. If Daniel Jones is in fact ruled out, which we fully expect him to be, Colt McCoy will get the start. This may move the line further in our favor. I think the market will overvalue the Browns when Jones is officially announced out, which could provide us with a juicy +7 or even +7.5. To me, McCoy gives the Giants a better chance to win right now because of Jones’ injury, which makes him a gargoyle in the pocket just waiting to be sacked. McCoy can run and be mobile, which makes the Giants drastically better on offense. They have been a “sticky” team all year long, playing a ton of close games even when they were huge underdogs. Meanwhile, the Browns have failed to cover the spread in their last six games as road favorites. The Giants at home should be able to keep the game close enough to where it will be within a TD. If this number gets to +7 and McCoy is officially named the started, New York will be a bet for me.

Official Play: McCoy starts and anything +7 and up

Total: 44

This is a very low total in the 2020 NFL, which doesn’t make a lot of sense to me. Yes, the Giants’ defense has been playing great in the second half of the season. They have a ton of injuries coming into this game and will be without their best CB in James Bradberry. They gave up 26 points to a struggling Cardinals team last week, and now face a team that has 40+ in their last two. They have really struggled to contain the running attack as of late too, which means the Browns 3rd ranked rushing attack can tee off on them. On the other side, the Browns have been just as terrible against the pass. They have been blitzkrieged through the air this year, getting burned badly over the top. They have especially struggled over the middle of the field, where opposing TEs have ripped them for large amounts of yardage. The Ravens put up 47 points last week against this squad. Over 44 is not much to ask with two struggling defenses and an upgrade at QB for New York.

Official Play: OVER 44

Player Props

Nick Chubb OVER Rushing Yds – I think Chubb is going to run rampant on this struggling Giants run defense. Even a hobbled Kyler Murray was able to run on this defense last week. Chubb will kill them.

Evan Engram OVER Receiving Yds – The Browns have been destroyed by opposing TEs all season long because the organization refuses to acknowledge inside linebackers. Love Engram to go over, especially if McCoy plays as he’s been his favorite target.

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