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5 Reasons The Bears Will Stick By Plan To Not Start Mitch Trubisky

mitch trubisky debut

There can be no doubt that the Mitch Trubisky debut is now something Chicago Bears fans are looking forward to. For the first time in over a decade the team has a brand new first round quarterback. Normally change is something people resist with ferocity. However, after the roller coaster ride that was Jay Cutler for eight years, most finally agreed it was time to try something else.

Like any sudden change, the drafting of Trubisky was hard at first. People criticized it extensively. After sitting back to think about it though? Many fans have come around on the idea. Now they’re starting to clamor for possibilities on when he could play. Perhaps he may even beat out veteran Mike Glennon for the starting job?

According to Rich Campbell of the Chicago Tribune, that is not the plan.

Mitch Trubisky debut like later rather than sooner

“First and foremost — for those just tuning back in after last year’s 3-13 finish — this is not an open quarterback competition. It’s not veteran Mike Glennon versus second-overall pick Mitch Trubisky with coach John Fox dangling the car keys between them.

It’s Glennon’s job on Day 1, and the team plans for the depth chart to remain stacked that way. All season, in fact.

Now, in fairness to Trubisky, the club has no incentive to put a hard ceiling over the rookie’s head. Fox always should feel comfortable playing the quarterback who gives his team the best chance to win. If Trubisky develops at an accelerated rate, a pace unforeseen after spring practices, the Bears certainly would take it.

But, until further notice, Glennon’s grip on the job remains strong because he is the only one of the two trained in an NFL offense. Even if this were an open competition — which, again, it is not — Glennon has a head start that Trubisky shouldn’t be expected to overcome quickly.”

There isn’t really much to debate there. It’s pretty plain. The Bears had a plan when they signed Glennon for $18.5 million guaranteed and then drafted Trubisky. It was a way to take two big swings at the most important position in sports. Glennon gets his chance to play a season as starter. If he pans out, great. If not the Bears now have another young prospect waiting in the wings to take his chance.

There is plenty of logic behind the idea. However, there are also other reasons why the Bears are going to resist every urge to start the rookie this year.

Experience

Let’s just get the obvious one out of the way. The biggest knock on Trubisky coming out of North Carolina. He only started 13 games. By contrast fellow first rounder Deshaun Watson started 30 just in his final two years with Clemson. Teams still aren’t sure what to make of him. How can he possibly be ready for a jump to the pros with so little game experience? That fear will be a motivational tool to keep him sidelined until the coaches are confident he has the offense mastered.

John Fox

It’s always important to keep John Fox in mind regarding any decision like this and know the history. To date the 62-year old coach has never successfully developed a rookie quarterback into a starter. With his job on the line in 2017, there’s little reason to think he mode of operation is going to change. His greatest successes came with veteran free agent quarterbacks like Jake Delhomme and Peyton Manning. Smart money says he’ll go back to that well one more time with Glennon. He’s seen the blueprint before.

Iffy receivers

The ideal situation would be for Trubisky to step in when the Bears offense is armed to the teeth with weapons. As of now they can’t say that’s the case. Jordan Howard and the offensive line look strong. Problems stem from the wide receivers. The two biggest issues are injury history and lack of experience. Kevin White has problems with both. Victor Cruz and Markus Wheaton both have extensive injury concerns. Cameron Meredith is in just his third year and doesn’t have the security blanket of Alshon Jeffery on the other side anymore.

It’s certainly a group with loads to prove. Can they be trusted to make the plays for a young quarterback who might not be perfect all the time? No. No they can’t.

Stiff schedule

Then there’s the fact that the Bears schedule doesn’t warrant allowing a rookie to play QB, especially through the first half of the season. Their opening four games will be against three playoff teams in Pittsburgh, Atlanta and Carolina. The other is against Tampa Bay who crushed them 36-10 last year. If that weren’t enough, seven of their games will be against defenses that featured a top 10 pass rush. Given how inconsistent Trubisky was facing heavy pressure in college, perhaps it’s best to not throw him out there unprepared.

Honoring their word

The NFL is at a tipping point these days. Several GMs have already been fired with reasons cited as poor relationships in regards to handling players. Ryan Grigson and Dave Gettleman being the most recent examples. More than anything it’s so rare for a team to actually stick by their word these days. The Bears have a chance to break that trend by giving Mike Glennon an honest to god chance to play out the 2017 season. Why? They said they would. It may seem too simple, but that doesn’t make it less right.

Anthony Rizzo Hits A Home Run For The Third Game In A Row

The Chicago Cubs are hitting on all cylinders after the All-Star break and that includes Anthony Rizzo. After clubbing a few dingers against the Baltimore Orioles, the first baseman hit a home run in his third straight game on Monday against the Atlanta Braves.

Rizzo now has 23 home runs, leading the way for the Cubs in 2017. This solo shot gave the Cubs a 3-1 lead in the seventh inning.

When Rizzo goes on a streak he gets crazy hot at the plate. It’s great to have a guy in the middle of your order who is always going to be consistent. That’s what Rizzo has been since he’s taken off in 2014.

You can just bank on a good season from Rizzo no matter what kind of a start he gets off to. Remember when some fans were worried about him in April?

Aside from Rizzo’s continued power surge, the Cubs got more clutch hitting, as Ben Zobrist gave the team a 2-1 lead in the fifth inning with a two-run single to center. Then, Addison Russell made it 4-1, with a pinch-hit, RBI-double in the eighth. That came with two outs.

Jose Quintana’s Debut Can Teach Cubs Pitchers A Big Lesson

By now, we’ve all surely heard about Jose Quintana’s exceptional debut for the Chicago Cubs. An incredible display of command and pitch location baffled the Baltimore Orioles’ offense into submission as the Cubs swept the opening series of the second half in Baltimore.

Quintana’s line from yesterday’s start:  7 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 12 K

A few things to observe: He rested the bullpen by eating up innings, going seven strong. He struck out 12, tying a franchise record for most strikeouts in a debut. And he didn’t allow any runs. All that is great.

But, to boil it all down, what truly enabled all of his success yesterday? The simple yet refreshing fact that he didn’t walk anybody.

Sound cliché? Well, the Cubs’ pitchers have struggled with walking hitters for years. Sure, there are plenty of instances when they don’t. But far too often on the North side have we witnessed a starter falling apart or the bullpen imploding due to falling behind and getting into “hitters” counts, or just straight up handing out free passes.

I hope Cubs pitchers were paying attention yesterday. They could surely learn a thing or two from that performance.

Take the starters, for instance. Jake Arrieta has walked 38 hitters in 108 innings this year. That’s more than three per nine innings. Jon Lester has walked 37 hitters in 108 innings. Again, that’s more than three per nine innings. Eddie Butler has walked 28 in 54.2 innings. That’s almost five per nine innings!!! That’s literally unacceptable.

It’s also why we’ve seen so many four, five, and barely six inning starts from Cubs starters this year. Falling behind and walking hitters eats into the pitch count and limits how far they can really go. It also leads to stressful, workmanlike innings that can take a toll, not only over the course of a start but over the season. Last year, it seemed they had their command virtually every start. This year, it seems to be a blessing when they do.

Let’s also examine the bullpen, because walks can be even more killer when it comes to relief pitching. Hector Rondon has walked 13 in 35.2 innings. Over three per nine innings. Pedro Strop has 15 walks in 33.2 innings. That’s four per nine innings. Justin Grimm is also averaging over four per nine innings. And Carl Edwards Jr. is averaging over five per nine innings! Yes, Edwards has unhittable stuff. But still, it’s a recipe for disaster in the long run.

Remember the days of Ryan Dempster and Carlos Marmol in the back end of the bullpen? Remember how much of a heart attack it used to be? Cubs relievers are currently still playing with that kind of fire. They really need to turn it around if the Cubs want to continue to turn their season around.

Quintana struggled to start the season. But ever since he has reverted back to his usual self over his last eight starts, he’s averaging just 2.2 walks per 9 innings. And this is why he has been so dominant since. Getting ahead of hitters, putting them in a vulnerable position, and being able to finish them off with his nasty repertoire of pitches is exactly how a starter draws it up. It’s easy to talk about. But it’s hard to do. Yet Quintana has been doing it. And it’s time for the rest of the pitching staff to take notes and get on his level.

REPORT: Industry Source Believes Cubs Will Trade For Zach Britton

I know some fans get pissed off about all these rumors and reports, but boy do I find it all entertaining. You have teams leaking info left and right and you’re really never sure what’s true and what’s bullshit. So, take this for whatever it’s worth, but according to MLB.com reporter Mark Feinsand, one of his sources thinks the Chicago Cubs are going to trade for Baltimore Orioles closer Zach Britton.

But there’s more. The Cubs played the Orioles this weekend and destroyed Baltimore’s pitching staff, scoring 27 runs in the three-game series, but they also had scouts taking closer looks at not only Britton but other relievers as well.

With the Orioles reportedly ready to sell most of their valuable players before the trade deadline, several teams were in attendance during the weekend.

Britton, 29, is coming off one of the most impressive years by a closer in MLB history. In 2016, the lefty had a 0.54 ERA and 0.84 WHIP, 47-for-47 in save chances. He only gave up four runs in 69 innings, striking out 74 batters to 18 walks.

And we’re not talking about a one-year wonder either. Britton had 1.65 ERA in 2014 and 1.92 ERA in 2015, saving 73 games in those two seasons. He’s under team control through 2018, making $11.4 million this year.

Remember the Andrew Miller trade last year? Yeah, the price is going to be high for Britton, despite having missed significant time with an arm injury this season. He’s only pitched 14 innings in 2017, missing almost all of May, all of June and coming back in early July.

Despite that, Britton is still one of the top closers in the game and again the Orioles will get a big haul for him.

This is why I love this report. We already saw the Jon Morosi and Ken Rosenthal report that the Cubs were still after Sonny Gray even after trading for Jose Quintana last week. Now, they’re in on Britton? We’ve seen that the Los Angeles Dodgers are trying to get Britton too, so I think Theo Epstein is simply trying to drive these prices through the roof for these teams. He jumped the market and got his guy, Quintana, the best pitcher available in the market, now he’s taking advantage and is going to at least make someone pay a massive price for whatever they want.

Can the Cubs get Britton? You might think they have no shot because they’ve given up Eloy Jimenez and Dylan Cease, but the Cubs still have plenty of prospects that could be valuable to other teams.

Anyway, stay tuned these next two weeks because we’re starting to see a few teams who are gearing up for a fire sale and we’re on the verge of seeing some fireworks.

Sports Illustrated All-Time Draft Has One Gigantic Chicago Bear Missing

chicago bears greats

The Sports Illustrated All-Time NFL draft led by columnist Peter King was an entertaining and informative feature. It breaks down like this. King wanted to see what would happen when an NFL draft-like scenario was played out where every single player who has come and gone in the game of pro football would be up for grabs. This of course includes the many Chicago Bears greats stretching back to the 1920s.

The rules were broken down as follows:

  • Each team would select 25 players and one coach. Twenty-five rounds, plus a round (in reverse draft order) for the coaches.
  • Each team would field 11 players on offense and 11 on defense, plus a placekicker and a punter. In addition, (at least) one wild-card player would be selected.
  • Each team must draft one QB, two running backs, two wide receivers, one tight end, two tackles, two guards and a center.
  • The defense could be either a 4-3 or a 3-4, plus two cornerbacks and two safeties.
  • If a GM selected a player who played two positions (for instance, center and linebacker, or kicker and punter), the GM could deploy that player at both spots, allowing for another wild-card pick.
  • Conceptually, the process would be era-neutral. The assumption was that players who excelled in one era would be equally good in any other.

The best part is they enlisted the help of 12 football personalities to run the draft, many of whom are actual Hall of Fame GMs including Ron Wolf and Bill Polian. Not to mention the man who got Ryan Pace hired, Ernie Accorsi. All of them, via conference call, would execute the building of their own all-time teams. Suffice to say there were plenty of surprises.

Chicago Bears greats represented well save for one

For starters the first overall pick wasn’t a quarterback. Nope that honor went to New York Giants linebacker Lawrence Taylor. The first QB didn’t go until the third pick. Was it Tom Brady? Was it Joe Montana. No sir. It was Johnny Unitas who stole that spot, the originator of the two-minute drill himself.

The Bears had three notable names go in the top 27 picks. Walter Payton was of course the first to go at #18, followed quickly by Gale Sayers at #21 and Dick Butkus at #27. After that not a single Bear went all the way until pick #82 when Mike Ditka came off the board. In total 19 players who wore navy blue were selected out of a possible 300. Not too bad. It wasn’t until the final round, when the GMs got to select their coaches that the biggest travesty occurred for Chicago.

Credit: SI

Naturally there are some no brainer names on the list like Lombardi, Belichick, Shula, Brown and Walsh. However, upon closer inspection isn’t there a name missing? No it’s not Ditka. Where the hell is George Halas? You know the guy. One of the founding fathers of pro football? A six-time NFL champion and two-time Coach of the Year? How is he not on this list?

Meanwhile guys like Marv Levy, Tony Dungy and Don Coryell make it. Sure they were successful and/or pioneers in some fashion but their accomplishments wouldn’t even shine the shoes of Halas’. Then there’s Curly Lambeau. The Green Bay Packers founder also had a legendary career, quite similar to Halas in fact. Problem is Halas absolutely owned him in head-to-head matchups. The Bears were 35-21-5 against the Packers during their run against each other.

Then again personal bias always creeps into decisions like this. It’s a real shame because Halas deserved to be one of those selections. Further proof, if nothing else, that he remains woefully underappreciated to this day.

Brian Campbell Retires From Hockey But Will Remain With The Blackhawks

The Chicago Blackhawks announced today that Brian Campbell will be retiring from playing hockey. News first hit last through a rumor from Barstool Big Cat of Barstool Sports but it was made official today.

Campbell played in 17 NHL seasons with the Buffalo Sabres, San Jose Sharks, Florida Panthers and most notably for the Chicago Blackhawks. In that time he amassed 87 goals, 417 assists and tallied his 500th career point with the Blackhawks on January 22, 2017.

Campbell played in multiple All-Star games but is best remembered for assisting Patrick Kane on the deciding goal of the 2010 Stanley Cup Victory.

Campbell will join the Blackhawks front office in the Business operations department. He had this to say about everything, “I’m excited to transition into the next step in both my professional career and life. I’m grateful to the countless number of teammates, coaches, team staff and fans that I have crossed paths with throughout my playing career in Chicago, Buffalo, Florida and San Jose. The Blackhawks organization has allowed me to take on this challenge and I’m thankful for this new opportunity.”

Follow @Pappy_Hour on Twitter for more Blackhawks news and musings.

Nick Kwiatkoski Could Make Some Rare History With Chicago Bears

nick kwiatkoski

People laud the history of Chicago Bears linebackers, and with good reason. No other team in the NFL has produced a consistent amount of all-time greats at that position. Three are already in the Hall of Fame in Bill George, Dick Butkus and Mike Singletary. Odds are good that Brian Urlacher will soon join them. That’s quite a lineup. However, there is one bit of history surrounding this success people don’t know.

It was expected. Those four men were all high draft choices coming out of college. Urlacher and Butkus were both first round picks while George and Singletary were second round picks. None of them were taken later than the 38th pick in the draft. So they were taken near the top of the talent pool and panned out. That’s often how it’s supposed to work.

Far less often is the Bears having success with mid to late round picks at the position. That is what makes the steady improvement of Nick Kwiatkoski so intriguing.

Chicago Bears linebackers legacy could deepen (literally) with Kwit

The kid out of West Virginia was an oddity in 2016. Nobody really saw him coming. GM Ryan Pace traded up in the draft to get him in the fourth round. Some were skeptical, thinking the team had bigger issues to deal with than inside linebacker. Especially after signing proven veterans Danny Trevathan and Jerrell Freeman. Then Trevathan injured his knee and Freeman was suspended for PED violations.

In their absence Kwiatkoski got a chance to play and over time he really started coming into his own.

It gave people hope that with a little more offseason work he could become one of the franchises’ next top linebackers. What would make that accomplishment so special is his origin story compared to those who came before. As stated before the bulk of successful Bears linebackers were drafted early. Of the eight Pro Bowl linebackers they’ve developed, seven of them were taken between the first and third rounds.

The only man to break that trend is Joe Fortunato. He was a seventh round choice of the team in 1952 and went to five Pro Bowls during his career in Chicago. That may sound like an all-time steal, but keep this in mind. Fortunato was the 80th pick of that draft. There were fewer teams in the NFL those days. If that were a modern selection today, Fortunato would be a third rounder.

That’s what makes Kwiatkoski such an exciting possibility.

Could be the latest pick in Bears history to reach a Pro Bowl

If he were to pan out, and in context “panning out” means making a Pro Bowl in his career then Kwiatkoski would have topped Fortunato for latest linebacker pick in team history to do it. How so? Though Fortunato went in the seventh round, Kwiatkoski technically went later in the draft. He was the 113th overall pick.

Not only has no player made the Pro Bowl for Chicago drafted that late. There also hasn’t been one to start more than four seasons for the team. This is the sort of rare history that Kwiatkoski has a chance to make. Pretty special when one really thinks about it.

Proof Eddie Goldman Is The Most Vital Bears Defender of 2017

eddie goldman importance
TAMPA, FL - DECEMBER 27: Eddie Goldman #91 of the Chicago Bears in action against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the game at Raymond James Stadium on December 27, 2015 in Tampa, Florida. The Bears defeated the Buccaneers 26-21. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images)

Pretty much all of the focus from fans and the media will be on the Chicago Bears secondary and pass rush. Specifically the new cornerbacks and safeties and of course the unpredictable health of edge rushers Leonard Floyd and Pernell McPhee. That shouldn’t be a surprise. Most people believe that’s where defensive excellence starts for any team in a pass-first league. That’s fair, but it doesn’t erase the Eddie Goldman importance factor.

The essence of the NFL has always been stop the run first before thinking about the pass. Teams that can’t stop the run are almost inevitably victimized by play action for big plays. It’s why coaches have never backed off the mantra even to this day when quarterbacks are dominating the landscape more than ever.

When it comes to a 3-4 defense, no position is more critical to stopping the run than the nose tackle. They control the middle of the defensive line and are tasked with clogging the interior lanes. Teams that have good ones like Baltimore (Brandon Williams) unsurprisingly had great overall defenses. It’s likely Chicago still doesn’t understand how key Goldman is to the Bears run stoppage.

Eddie Goldman importance reflected in his absence

The Bears finished with the 27th ranked unit against the run in 2016. That’s bad. As it turns out though, they were a different team when Goldman was on the field. He only played six games unfortunately, dealing with multiple injuries. When he did manage to play though, his impact was tangible.

In those six games, the Bears allowed an average of 118.83 yards on 31.5 carries. That comes out to 3.77 yards per carry. Pretty good. When he’s out though? Those numbers ballooned to 123.7 yards on 25.4 carries for an average of 4.87 per carry. Then again if the numbers aren’t enough to prove it, watch the tape.

What makes his impact even more impressive last season was the level of competition. In the six contests he played, the Bears faced three of the 10 best rushing offenses of 2016. That included Houston (8th), Tennessee (3rd) and San Francisco (4th). By contrast eight of the opponents they faced in the other 10 games ranked 20th or worse in rushing including the Giants, Lions and Vikings who were 29th, 30th and 32nd respectively.

Yet that didn’t stop Chicago from falling apart without Goldman on the field. It’s little wonder head coach John Fox and defensive coordinator Vic Fangio are anxious to see him back. They know what he’s capable of doing. Like with his fellow teammates, it all comes down to the big question.

Can he stay healthy?

Reynaldo Lopez Continues Torrid Stretch, Throws Gem As Knights Walk Off

Reynaldo Lopez is the no. 6 prospect in the White Sox newly upgraded farm system, but he has a very good chance to be the first one called up. Before the season even began, people were saying how he is probably the most Big-League ready out of all the prospects the team obtained in the offseason. While he had a few rough starts to begin the year, no one has ever doubted his potential. He has the ceiling of a low-end ace or solid no. 2, and the floor of a dynamite reliever.

What’s He Got?

Lopez is a fly-ball pitcher and works with a fastball-curveball combo. His fastball has hit 100 and sits around 96-97. It lacks life however, and can tend to get hit around when it flattens out too much. His curveball generates more swing and misses, as he throws it with power and nasty bite. In Charlotte, he has focused on improving his changeup and control. It is evident that he has taken strides forward in both of those areas, especially as of late. There is no service time or Super-2 barrier that the organization needs to worry about. They have made it known publicly that they are only going to promote their prospects to the White Sox if they are 100% certain they will stay up there for good.

The above video is Lopez at his absolute best. When he can command his fastball like that, he is an absolute joy to watch. It sure does sound like he has gotten better at it down in Triple-A.

A Dominating Stretch

As stated earlier, Lopez is really dominating opposing batters as of late. Today was just another day at the office for him, as he threw 7 innings of 2-hit ball, with 1 ER, 12 K’s, and 2BB. He did not personally get the win, but the Knights ended up wining on a walk-off hit. Lopez has also made quality starts in 5 of his last 7 starts. To qualify for a quality start, a pitcher must go at least 6 full innings with no more than 3 ER given up. Furthermore, in his last 22.2 innings pitched, Lopez has a 1.59 ERA, 28 K’s, and just 3 walks. If there were ever a time to bring up Lopez, it would make sense for it to be now or in the very near future.

Open Spot In The Rotation

With the recent trade of Jose Quintana, there is now an open spot in the rotation. Sure Miguel Gonzalez is back from his stint on the DL, but they could/should DFA either Mike Pelfrey or David Holmberg to make room for Lopez. He is really starting to force Rick Hahn’s hands, which is a great problem to have.

Final Thoughts

I don’t think the White Sox are necessarily waiting for an injury to happen to bring up Lopez. At this point it really is just a matter of time until he makes his White Sox debut. The second half is going to be a really exciting time for the fans. Especially these upcoming weeks with the trade deadline looming. I would honestly be shocked it Lopez is still pitching for the Charlotte Knights in August. Get excited, White Sox fans. Lopez will be on the South Side sooner than later.

 

The Red-Hot Willson Contreras Has Become An Untradeable Asset

It’s hard to believe that Willson Contreras, a former 3rd base prospect from Puerto Cabello, Venezuela, has become on of the best catchers in all of baseball. Contreras was one of the last acquired players by former Cubs GM Jim Hendry, he is currently the longest tenured Cubs player in terms of being in their system, and was essentially flying under the radar until being named the Cubs minor league player of the year in 2015.

It has always been clear the Contreras could hit, a career .283 hitter in the minors, but the question was where the kid would play? He bounced all over the field during his minor league career, playing at first base, second base, third base, left field, and right field, to go along with catching. Contreras’ work ethic is much to thank for his conversion from an infielder to big-league backstop.

Fast-forward to 2017, and Contreras is not only proving he can handle the duties of a full-time catcher, he is absolutely thriving at the MLB level. His value to the Cubs is sky-rocketing, to the point where Contreras is proving he may be the most valuable player on the club not named Anthony Rizzo or Kris Bryant. According to Fangraphs, Contreras trails only the Giants Buster Posey in WAR among catchers, registering a 2.3 WAR so far this season.

Currently, the 25-year-old catcher is slashing .267/.332/.473 with 12 home runs and 45 runs driven in, but Willy has been clobbering so far through the month of July. In his first 10 games in July, Contreras owns an OPS of 1.128 with three home runs and seven RBI thus far. And is he coming off an 8-14 weekend in Baltimore, where came around to score seven times and drive in four. Maybe it has something to do with a slight change in his approach at the plate? Regardless, Willy is freaking raking as of late.

And while he is supplying plenty of power at the plate, what makes Contreras so impressive is his elite defensive ability behind the dish. According to Fangraphs’ DRS and rSB, Contreras has saved eight runs this season so far due to his defense. And fair warning to prospective runners, Contreras will throw at any point during the game, and the odds are likely he will gun you down.

Just like he did to the Pirates three (THREE) times earlier this season.

And he clearly knows how to handle a pitching staff, being that the Cubs handed him the reigns at the beginning of the playoffs last year after only playing roughly four months of pro ball. Contreras is a special player, and while many don’t realize it, he is inserted himself into the Cubs core group.

Anyway you slice it, Contreras is one of the best in every key statistic among catchers. While he can still make improvements on the defensive end, like his framing (currently ranked 52nd catcher in framing according to Baseball Prospectus) and his nine throwing errors on the season are somewhat of a sore spot. But Willson Contreras is already one of the best catchers in baseball, and is well on his way to proving he is one of the most complete players in the entire league.