Saturday, April 20, 2024

Why The Chicago Bears Are Picking A Good Year To Suck

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The Chicago Bears have lost three straight after an encouraging 2-1 start. It is worse that all three losses have come within a touchdown or less. Thursday night against Washington was the worst of them all, as they had the game-winning TD in hand before Darnell Mooney bobbled it. Now the schedule is about to turn against them, with New England, Dallas, and Miami up next. It isn’t hard to imagine those three games becoming losses as well.

They can’t pass the ball with any effectiveness. Their run defense is still really bad. It is abundantly clear this is a flawed football team. That is why there is a strong likelihood they will end up with a high slot in the upcoming 2023 NFL draft. Getting there won’t be any fun, but there are reasons to think the Bears might be timing this perfectly. Jeff Hughes of Da Bears Blog made the point in a recent column.

“Supposedly, this is a quarterback-heavy NFL Draft. But it also might be a collection of the most quarterback-needy teams we have seen.

This was the draft order, via Tankathon, as of Saturday morning. (Results Sunday have already changed this order but the order as of Week 6 is not particularly important.) Let’s just look at the first 18 selections.

(1) Carolina – needs QB

(2) Las Vegas – could draft QB

(3) Pittsburgh – has QB

(4) Detroit – could draft QB

(5) Houston – needs QB

(6) Chicago – unlikely to draft QB

(7) Washington – needs QB

(8) Atlanta – needs QB

(9) Houston second pick

(10) Philadelphia – has QB

(11 & 12) Seattle – could draft QB

(13) New England – has QB

(14) Arizona – has QB

(15) Detroit second pick

(16) Cincinnati – has QB

(17) Jacksonville – has QB

(18) Indianapolis – eventually Chris Ballard has to draft a QB, right?

Chicago Bears could find themselves in the ideal trade-down scenario.

GM Ryan Poles said his primary goal is to build the Bears through the draft. That requires picks—lots of them. Outside of trading high-profile players, nothing secures lots of picks more than giving up a high draft slot. That is especially true when quarterbacks are involved. Here is what every 1st round trade involving a top 10 QB netted since 2016.

  • Jared Goff – Two 1st, two 2nd, and two 3rd round picks (from 1st overall to 15th)
  • Carson Wentz – Two 1st, One 2nd, and one 3rd round pick (from 2nd overall to 8th)
  • Mitch Trubisky – Two 3rd and one 4th round picks (2nd overall to 3rd)
  • Patrick Mahomes – Two 1st and one 3rd round picks (10th overall to 22nd)
  • Sam Darnold – One 1st and three 2nd round picks (3rd to 6th)
  • Josh Allen – One 1st and two 2nd round picks (7th overall to 12th)
  • Trey Lance – Three 1st and one 3rd round picks (3rd overall to 12th)

That paints a clear enough picture. If the Chicago Bears end up with a top 5 pick and don’t plan on replacing Justin Fields, then they are almost certain to have teams interested in moving up for a quarterback. It comes down to how far Poles is willing to drop. Some GMs are comfortable falling out of the top 10 entirely. Others prefer to stay somewhere in the bottom half. Either way, the Bears are certain to get a hefty ransom of high picks in return.

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The best part is the upcoming 2023 quarterback class looks strong. Bryce Young (Alabama) and C.J. Stroud (Ohio State) are already top 10 locks barring injury. Will Levis has boatloads of talent, while Hendon Hooker (Tennessee) and Anthony Richardson (Florida) are fast rising into the 1st round conversation as well. Everything points to an early run at the position.

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SLIP KNOTZ
SLIP KNOTZ
Oct 18, 2022 10:41 pm

Fields is at the bottom of the NFL in production. Being at the bottom of the league usually gets someone drafted at your position to compete against you. These are two factual statements and yet people will down vote this statement.

Bears_Down
Bears_Down
Oct 18, 2022 12:35 pm

This is the team that took Cedric Benson over Aaron Rodgers and the obvious latest blunder passing on the dude in kc and the past 35 years we have barely had 5 good seasons in that time.

craig wachs
craig wachs
Oct 18, 2022 8:34 am

spend on FA…. OT BROWN/KC ..OG NELSON/IND. C McCOY/N.O. Draft edge rusher from bama #31 name slips my mind or DT Carter from Georgia if at 4 ur 5 .. 1/2 or 3 trade down for extra picks in 1st an 2nd rnd..Bears will have money for all 3 FA,s ..SPEND IT !

Nick
Nick
Oct 18, 2022 6:43 am

Tomahawk….love the hyperbole; however, no one has any clue (including yourself) until they play NFL ball. I like a few of the QBs but there is a good chance they all look as good or worse than Justin behind this line and with these WRs. Most of these QBs have great lines in college that protect them and talently touted WRs. This Bears team would do well to not invest in a QB early and draft linemen (both offense and defense) and skills position to help their QB. Also address these positions in free agency. If they do that and… Read more »

Lwood
Lwood
Oct 18, 2022 6:40 am

Jim B. is every Article a ‘put lipstick on a Pig’ Subject?

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