Friday, May 17, 2024

Projected Chicago Bears 2023 Draft Position Revealed

-

The Chicago Bears look like a team that is clearly in a rebuilding phase. Though they sit at 2-2 and are still very much in the NFC playoff picture, both of their losses showcased how flawed the roster is. They can’t throw the ball on offense, and they can’t stop the run on defense. That is often a nasty combination. Head coach Matt Eberflus remains determined to get those problems figured out. Sadly he may not have the talent necessary to do so.

That would explain why many expect the Bears to finish with one of the worst records in the league. How bad it gets remains to be seen. ESPN decided to take a stab at it. They did so with their Football Power Index. Unsurprisingly, the winless Houston Texans are the favorites to end up with the #1 overall pick. What about the Bears?

“Every week during the season, the FPI projects the draft order by simulating the remainder of the season 10,000 times. Game probabilities are based largely on the model’s ratings for individual teams in addition to game locations…

4. Chicago Bears (2-2)

Average draft position: 7.6
FPI chance to earn No. 1 pick: 7.7%
FPI chance to earn top-five pick: 43.6%
FPI chance to earn top-10 pick: 73.4%”

That isn’t overly difficult to believe. Chicago would’ve held the 7th overall pick this year if not for the Justin Fields trade. Losing a few more games to get the 4th overall is easy to envision after the housecleaning Poles did.

The Chicago Bears have great fortune with the 4th pick.

They’ve used it a total of six times, dating back to 1946. The players added were Johnny Lujack, Gale Sayers, Waymond Bryant, Walter Payton, Dan Hampton, and Cedric Benson. Four of those first five names went to the Pro Bowl. Three ended up in the Hall of Fame. Bryant was a good player in the mid-1970s before injuries shortened his career. Benson was a bust in Chicago. Recent 4th overall picks included Kyle Pitts, Denzel Ward, Amari Cooper, and Lane Johnson.

Subscribe to the BFR Youtube channel and ride shotgun with Dave and Ficky as they break down Bears football like nobody else.

In other words, the Chicago Bears would have a chance to land a legitimate blue-chip talent if they pick that high. There is also the possibility Ryan Poles could trade down to secure more picks. That has happened four times dating back to 2003. In most cases, it always secured an extra 1st round pick for the team moving down. Four teams have two 1st round picks going into next April. Something to keep in mind if ESPN is proven correct.

5 COMMENTS

Notify of
5 Comments
Newest
Oldest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Jordan Miller
Jordan Miller
Oct 10, 2022 6:30 am

Agreed Roshan, use that $100 mil cap space to sign for needs. Then use the draft for best player available. Should be an easy decision if Jalen Carter is available when Chicago picks.

Last edited 1 year ago by Password_Is_Taco
Roshan Char
Roshan Char
Oct 9, 2022 7:36 pm

IDL Jalen Carter is a name to look out for if we end up with a top-5 draft pick. A lot of people will complain that we didn’t help Fields and drafted a defensive player again but you can’t deny that our run defense and pass rush has been awful so far. Draft best player available and sign players for needs in free agency.

Tom Waddle
Tom Waddle
Oct 8, 2022 8:02 pm

Harbaugh took over a losing 49er team and had them a step away from the SB that very same year, with Alex Smith at QB who had been a bust up until that point

Jeanszo88
Jeanszo88
Reply to  Tom Waddle
Oct 8, 2022 6:19 pm

Doubt it when there is not that much talent on da roster

Tom Waddle
Tom Waddle
Oct 8, 2022 4:06 pm

Shouldve hired Jim Harbaugh, but they didnt want to pay the going rate for a top coach which is $10mill a year. He wouldve finally injected some juice and life back into Bears football.

Chicago SportsNEWS
Recommended for you

5
0
Give us your thoughts.x
()
x