Sunday, May 19, 2024

Chicago Bears Insider Gives Percentage Possibility They Trade Down From #9


Chicago Bears fans know what to expect when the NFL draft begins next week. They will take a quarterback at #1 overall. Everybody assumes it will be Caleb Williams of USC. From there, they must wait an hour to see what comes next. GM Ryan Poles also holds the #9 pick. Debates have raged for weeks about what he might do. Some predict a wide receiver. Others see an offensive or defensive lineman. Then there is the large contingent who believe Poles have no plans of staying at that spot. He will try to trade down, hoping to secure an extra pick or two for his limited coffers.

Having only four picks in total doesn’t feel like something this GM would be satisfied with. If he believes he can still land a good player later in the 1st round, he has every reason to move down. There is also the difficult decision of perhaps passing on a blue-chip talent at #9. It isn’t an easy decision. Much of how it goes will depend on how picks 2-8 pan out. Brad Biggs of the Chicago Tribune assessed the situation in his recent mailbag. From what he gathers, the odds of moving down are strong but far from a lock.

“If I had to assign a probability to the three scenarios you laid out, my guess would be staying put is the chalk play. Trading up also has a certain appeal and has created a buzz the last couple of weeks, but then the Bears would be playing with a shorter deck in 2025. Trading down is complicated because we don’t know how much interest teams will have in moving up to No. 9, and Poles might not know until the day before the draft or even until the Bears are on the clock.

a. Bears trade up: 15%
b. Bears trade down: 30%
c. Bears stay at 9: 55%”

The Chicago Bears likely have plans in place.

It is safe to assume they’ve had frequent phone calls with several teams about the possibility of moving down. Everything hinges on the player those respective teams want being available and whether they make an offer strong enough to convince Poles to move down. He isn’t going to drop for a mere pittance. At least a Day 2 pick will be a must. Once those things are ironed out, the discussion will shift to who the Bears won’t be willing to pass on if they’re available. It probably won’t be any defensive players. Most experts see the majority of them going outside the top 10. So, it would be an offensive name.

The four that probably stand out the most are Ohio State wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr., LSU wide receiver Malik Nabers, Washington wide receiver Rome Odunze, and Notre Dame left tackle Joe Alt. It depends if the Chicago Bears’ sentiments on those players are similar to the wider draft public. Any one of them would make life easier for Williams. It’s about how comfortable Poles would be having so few picks left were he to land one of them.

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Apr 19, 2024 4:29 pm

My personal preference at 1.9 would be one of the Top 3 WRs (MHJ, Nabers, then Odunze), else Turner or Alt. Harrison falling to 9th pick is a pipe dream. Nabers is possible and would add dangerous homerun hitting ability for Caleb. Odunze would be okay but lacks separation from his breaks. I would choose Turner over Odunze if those two were available. Turner has speed and burst reminiscent of the Cowboys’ Micah Parsons and would be disruptive despite not having the size you’d like on your DL. Should Alt fall to the Bears at 1.9 and Poles takes him,… Read more »

Last edited 1 month ago by Veece
Apr 19, 2024 2:19 pm

How many scenarios do they have planned?
I can’t imagine.

say your prayers fellow bear fans!! I hope we pick a player or 4 that will help us beat GB…. 3 times in 1 season. (yes, 3…. if we BOTH make the playoffs and we eliminate them in the post season)

Would that not be WONDERFUL!!???

Apr 18, 2024 9:33 pm

You know, at first my opinion was that they shouldn’t trade up for anyone and to just take the best player at #9. Now I’m thinking that if they have the chance to get a player that they they love, and think it could be a franchise alerting type of player, then F it, move up and get him. A team can overcome a couple middle round draft picks and those picks won’t even matter if they hit on that player. Rams are drafting in the first round for the first time since 2016. That’s almost a decade without a… Read more »

Slip Knotz
Slip Knotz
Apr 18, 2024 8:45 pm

Off topic here but I want to mention the O-Line. We have a real dilemma with 2 Right Guards in Davis and Jenkins. Davis is useless at any other position so it forced Jenkins to left where he was very streaky. I would argue that if we draft a Center then we should groom the new free agents all at LG. Let Jenkins and Davis play RG since neither are healthy all the time. Maybe replace the weaker link at RG in 2025.

Slip Knotz
Slip Knotz
Apr 18, 2024 8:34 pm

@ Scooby the flip of your coin seems to be a bit rigged.

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