The NFL has officially dropped the 2025 schedule, and that means it’s time for my annual tradition: way-too-early predictions for every Chicago Bears game. With Caleb Williams taking the reins and a playoff-caliber roster around him, expectations are high in the Windy City.
Let’s break it down week by week:
Week 1 – Sept. 8 vs. Minnesota Vikings (Monday Night Football)
Prediction: Win
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Record: 1-0
Love the primetime debut. Caleb Williams vs. JJ McCarthy at Soldier Field? Give me the Bears.
Week 2 – Sept. 14 at Detroit Lions
Prediction: Win
Record: 2-0
Week 3 – Sept. 21 vs. Dallas Cowboys
Prediction: Win
Record: 3-0
Week 4 – Sept. 28 at Las Vegas Raiders (3:25 p.m. CT)
Prediction: Win
Record: 4-0
Week 5 – Bye Week
Week 6 – Oct. 13 at Washington Commanders (Monday Night Football)
Prediction: Loss
Record: 4-1
If there’s one game I desperately want the Bears to win, it’s this one. Still, I’ll chalk it up as a loss on the road.
Week 7 – Oct. 19 vs. New Orleans Saints
Prediction: Win
Record: 5-1
Week 8 – Oct. 26 at Baltimore Ravens
Prediction: Loss
Record: 5-2
Week 9 – Nov. 2 at Cincinnati Bengals
Prediction: Loss
Record: 5-3
Week 10 – Nov. 9 vs. New York Giants
Prediction: Win
Record: 6-3
Week 11 – Nov. 16 at Minnesota Vikings
Prediction: Win
Record: 7-3
Week 12 – Nov. 23 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Prediction: Win
Record: 8-3
Week 13 – Nov. 28 at Philadelphia Eagles (Black Friday Football)
Prediction: Loss
Record: 8-4
Week 14 – Dec. 7 at Green Bay Packers
Prediction: Loss
Record: 8-5
Week 15 – Dec. 14 vs. Cleveland Browns
Prediction: Win
Record: 9-5
Week 16 – Dec. 20 vs. Green Bay Packers (Saturday, 3:30 or 6:00 p.m. CT)
Prediction: Loss
Record: 9-6
Week 17 – Dec. 28 at San Francisco 49ers (Sunday Night Football)
Prediction: Win
Record: 10-6
Week 18 – TBD vs. Detroit Lions
Prediction: Loss
Final Record: 10-7
Final Prediction
The Bears finish the 2025 regular season 10-7, securing a Wild Card spot in the playoffs. A new era has begun in Chicago—get ready.
If you want a full breakdown of the Bears 2025 schedule, check out the latest episode of Bears Film Room on YouTube, where Ficky and I go through it all.
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So we have a new head coach that was never a head coach before, with all new coordinators and other coaches that have never coached together before. Then we have all these new players, including rookies that never played at NFL speeds and all players learning a new playbook. The big question is, how will all these people work together? The answer is, no one knows right now. This also doesn’t include injuries during the season. The only true prediction for the season is they will win the games they score more points than their opponents and lose all the… Read more »
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A better approach is to estimate the probability of winning each game, then add up the probabilities to get a final record. For example, if there are 5 games in which the team has an 80% chance to win, that means that the most likely result is they will win 4 and lose 1. As they are the favorite in each game, they should win five, they might, but they are more likely to lose 1, and possibly lose 2. I did the exercise, and came up with the bears getting 10.1 wins. Most likely win was against the Saints… Read more »